Where the data says the economy stands right now. Sources inline. Calls scored after the fact.
The ORACLE Economic Nowcast Feed is a subscription briefing on macro conditions (rates, supply pressure, demand signals) assembled from public data before the official statistics catch up. Every claim points at its source. Every directional call becomes a tracked forecast that gets resolved and scored, and the running scorecard ships with the feed. Not investment advice; a research feed with receipts.
Get the first issue when it ships See how the scoring works
THE PROBLEM
You plan against the macro picture whether you want to or not: pricing decisions, inventory commitments, borrowing costs, hiring plans. The official statistics that would inform those calls arrive weeks late, and the commentary that fills the gap has a structural honesty problem. Bank research is gated to clients. Paid newsletters ship confident narrative with no scored track record; nobody goes back and grades last quarter's calls. And AI-generated macro takes now flood every channel, fluent, confident, and unsourced. Meanwhile the data that actually answers the question is public: rate decisions, statistical releases, commodity and freight indices, inventory and shipping series. Nowcasting from high-frequency public data is an established discipline, central banks do it for themselves, and there is no productized, scored, operator-priced feed of it. That is the gap.
HOW IT WORKS
Each cycle, the feed runs the same briefing engine Oracle already runs daily inside AYA: gather the public series and overnight developments, synthesize the read, and write the briefing. Two disciplines are enforced on the way out. First, attribution: every claim in the briefing carries its source inline (series name, publisher, release date), and a claim that cannot be attributed is cut, not softened. Second, scoring: where the briefing makes a directional call (rates path, input-cost pressure, demand pulse), that call is logged as a tracked forecast, resolved against what actually happens, and scored by the same calibration loop our forecasting service uses. The subscriber gets two artifacts every issue: the briefing, and the running scorecard of how prior briefings actually did, Brier-scored on resolution. An issue that says the data is genuinely ambiguous is an acceptable issue. A confident issue without sources is not allowed to exist.
WHAT YOU GET
Every cycle, in your inbox: - the nowcast briefing, rates, supply, and demand signals read from the freshest public data, in plain operator language, - the sources, inline, every claim traceable to the series and release it came from, - the tracked calls, each directional statement logged as a forecast with a resolution date, not a vibe, - the scorecard, the running, Brier-scored record of how previous calls resolved, shipped with every issue, unpopulated shown as unpopulated, - the archive, prior issues and their outcomes, so you can audit us before you trust us.
WHO IT'S FOR
Operators who plan against macro conditions without a research desk: finance leads, procurement and pricing teams, treasury functions at companies exposed to rates and input costs, and the strategy teams that want a second, sourced read next to their gut. Also analysts and writers who want a scored baseline to argue with. If you want trade signals, portfolio recommendations, or anything a licensed adviser should be doing, this is not that: the feed is informational research about economic conditions, full stop, and it says so on every issue.
PRICING (the ladder)
We price the ladder, not a single number, and every number below is a hypothesis we validate with you, not a commitment. - Individual, the briefing on cadence (weekly to start, daily as the loop proves out) plus the scorecard, for one reader, cancel anytime. - Team, the same feed for up to 10 seats, plus a monthly deep-dive edition and internal quoting rights with attribution. - API feed, structured issues (claims, sources, calls, scorecard as JSON) delivered into your own tools, with limited internal redistribution rights, negotiated annually.
IP is licensed, never assigned. Any step that takes your money is gated and confirmed by a human before it runs, nothing charges silently.
THE PROOF (dogfood)
AYA is its own first subscriber. The founder plans runway, pricing, and vendor costs against the same rates and cost pressures this feed reads, so the first standing recipient is the founder's own inbox, running the same gather-synthesize-attribute-score path a paying subscriber would get. Every directional call from those internal issues lands in the same calibration ledger our forecasting service keeps, which means the scorecard we eventually show you was earned on ourselves first. The build left its own receipt: the deliverable pattern was scored by our quality gate and every pattern this product references was verified on disk before this page was written.
HONEST NOTE
We would rather under-promise. What exists today: the briefing engine, the calibration and resolution-tracking loop, and the economic-calendar plumbing, all on disk, verified, and scored. What has NOT happened yet: no issue has been produced with the nowcast source set, the scorecard for nowcast-class calls is unpopulated (and will be shown as unpopulated until real resolutions land), no subscriber, internal or external, has received an issue, and no delivery or billing rail is wired. We publish no accuracy number without a fresh evidence file behind it, ever; that rule is enforced in our pipeline, not just promised on this page. The first scored resolution window is the natural next test, and until it closes, the honest pitch is the discipline, not a track record we do not yet have.
And the frame we will keep repeating: this is not investment advice. It is a research feed about economic conditions, built from public data, with its homework attached. What you do with it is your call, ideally with your adviser in the room.
Get the first issue when it ships
*This page is a specification. The capability it describes is not built yet, and nothing here is a claim that it runs today.*